Tag Archives: more enhanced risk

A look back at the weekend tornadoes and the outlook for more this week.

April 16, 2019, …  A look back at the weekend tornadoes and the outlook for more damaging storms this week. Below is the Day 01 convective outlook for Saturday April 13, 2019.

From that Day 01 outlook, SPC anticipated a very active Saturday:

“a regional outbreak of tornadoes could occur across parts of the moderate risk area”

An outbreak of tornadoes did in deed occur in and close to the moderate and enhanced risk areas.

A few selected tornado reports from Saturday’s outbreak showing  approximate time (UTC) of the event as well as property damage, injuries and fatalities. Severe storms began early in the day across Texas and continued into the overnight across Mississippi and Alabama.

Below is the Day02 convective outlook for Wednesday April 17, 2019

“Steep lapse rates and long hodographs will favor large damaging hail.  Wind profiles
suggest less-than-optimal supercell/tornado environment. Still, robust storms capable of severe hail and damaging wind are likely.”

The enhanced risk is a little less certain than the moderate risk.  But more damaging storms are expected Wednesday and Thursday of this week across the central and southern  United States.

Remember you can watch the evolution of the storm system with the various products of the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) which can be found simply at,

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

also monitor your local NWS office to keep up with actual specific storm warnings

NWS, …https://www.weather.gov/

NWS radar will help you track the damaging storms

Radar, …https://www.weather.gov/Radar

more active weather in the days ahead, stay alert

over and out

Wild Bill