October 13, 2015
1997 had a warm early October, a little warmer than this year.
16SEP2015 29.0 2.3 17SEP1997 28.9 2.2
23SEP2015 29.0 2.3 24SEP1997 28.9 2.2
30SEP2015 29.1 2.4 01OCT1997 29.1 2.4
07OCT2015 29.1 2.4 08OCT1997 29.2 2.6
No increase in water temperature, no change in the anomaly during the past week in the 3.4 Niño region. 1997 had an early October surge, 28.9°C to 29.2, so 1997 has the edge for the moment. 2015 so far has shown no such surge in October but trails 1997 by only one tenth of a degree in measured temp 29.1 to 29.2°C.
Despite this little weekly set back, concern about this upcoming event continues to grow, especially for California.
Bill Patzert, a climatologist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena California, recently said, “This is as close as you’re going to get to a sure thing.” This El Niño, he said, is “too big to fail”. Strong words from a government scientist that usually stresses caution and discourages over reaction.
He is speaking to the California media, trying to assure them rain is in deed on the way. But with that rain, so desperately needed for drought relief, will also come floods and mud slides.
Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!
Wild Bill